Democrats Losses In New York Highlight MAJOR Problem

By | January 8, 2023

The media hailed the Democrats’ performance in the 2022 midterm elections as a great accomplishment. But the fact remains that they lost seats in the House they should’ve won, particularly in New York. The Democratic Party must do a better job of turning out its base.

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But so a narrative has been said by the media that the midterms were a resounding success for the Democrats and they held the Senate and they thwarted election deniers’ victory in swing state gubernatorial and Secretary of State races. Well, I agree that the Senate is more important than winning the house because the appointment of Judges’ human control of the house is also extremely important. The facts are that the Democrats just needed to flip five seats to keep control of the house. There were seven seats that the Republicans won by less than one point. and while three of those top four races were in districts where Trump won. The other three seats were in the two largest Democratic strongholds in California and New York. Another issue not talked about enough is the disappointing turnout in house races. In 2018 the turnout was 50 percent of all eligible voters which is the highest turnout since 1914 in the midterm election. in 2020 the turnout was 66 percent which is the highest turnout percentage in the presidential year since 1900. Many election experts expected this year’s total to be higher than 2018 to open. Fortunately, this year’s numbers were down compared to recent years. University of Florida Poli SCI Professor Michael McDonald projected a total of 112 million votes on November 23rd. but the current total is only 170 107.3 million. with most of the vote count already in so his projection of a 46.8 percent turnout could be wrong. I think it’s actually closer to 44.8. so Sam do you have an opinion on the five unexpected house losses in New York? or do you have any other questions or comments? I I think a big part of it was what Dave Weigel had told us going into that election. which was there did not seem to be the same amount of urgency to vote in blue States because there wasn’t as much concern about the abortion ruling. I think that wasn’t you know there was just no there wasn’t the same level of urgency to come out and vote in midterm elections. and I think to a certain extent Democrats still have this sort of ongoing problem that they have always had, that their turnout during midterm elections is bad. or or is not commensurate with the moment, right? I mean it certainly is up from where it’s been but it’s not meeting the level of urgency that it should. and I think Democrats need to figure out a way in which to generate that like because I don’t know it could be I don’t know if it’s if the answer is more negative partisanship you know motivations or if there needs to be a sort of more sort of like unified nationalized message that is you know answering material needs it’s hard to say I it really is hard to say I don’t know but my sense is that the bump that Democrats got from abortion in purple or red States just didn’t happen in New York.


But so a narrative has been said that The meat uh by the media that the Midterms were resounding success for the Democrats and uh They they held the Senate and they Thwarted election deniers victory in Swing state gubernatorial and Secretary Of State races well I agree that the Senate is more important than winning The house because of the appointment of Judges human control of that the house Is also extremely important the facts Are that the Democrats just needed to Flip five seats to keep control of the House there were seven seats that the Republicans won by less than one point And while three of those those top four Races were in districts where Trump won The other three seats uh were in the two Largest Democratic strongholds in California and New York another issue Not talked about enough is the Disappointing turnout in house races in 2018 the turnout was 50 percent of all Eligible voters which is the highest Turnout since 1914 in the midterm Election in 2020 the turnout was 66 Percent which is the highest turnout Percentage in the presidential year Since 1900 many election experts Expected this year's total to be higher Than 2018 to open fortunately this Year's numbers were down compared to Those recent years University of Florida

Poli SCI Professor Michael McDonald Projected a total of 112 million votes On November 23rd but the current total Is only 170 107.3 million with most of vote count uh Already already in so his projection of 46.8 percent turnout could be wrong I Think it's actually closer to 44.8 Uh so Sam do you have an opinion on the Five unexpected house losses in New York Or do you have any other questions or Comments I I think a big part of it was What Dave Weigel had told us going into That that election which was there did Not seem to be the same amount of Urgency to vote in blue States because There wasn't as much concern about the Um about the abortion ruling I think That wasn't you know there there was Just no uh there wasn't the same level Of urgency to come out and vote in Midterm elections and I think to a Certain extent Democrats still have this Sort of like ongoing problem that they Have always had that their turnout During midterm elections is is bad uh or Or is not commensurate with the moment Right I mean it certainly is up from Where it's been but it's not meeting the Level of urgency that it should Um and I think Democrats need to figure Out a way in which to to generate that Like because I I don't know it could be I don't know

If it's if the answer is more negative Partisanship uh you know motivations or If there needs to be a sort of more sort Of like unified nationalized uh message That is you know answering material Needs it's hard to say I it really is Hard to say I don't know but but my Sense is is that Um the bump that Democrats got from Abortion in purple or red States just Didn't happen in New York And in California yeah I mean what do You what do you think of well what do You think about the the issue of crime Because I mean there's just another Article that I read this morning on uh In Mother Jones about especially in in You know the two Nassau County districts Uh districts to three and District Four Uh I think that I think the Republicans I think the Republicans are always going To find something that will uh motivate Their base And Democrats need to do the same But in terms of like where that message Resonated I think it's the other side of That abortion coin which is there's Vacuum left for Democratic voters uh Less motivated than blue States and then When you have like a city like New York And there's a Democratic mayor that ran On crime you have New York Post every Day front page back page some crime Incident you're doing the work for the

Republicans exactly you're doing the Work for the Republicans you're helping Them motivate it uh you know motivate Their base but at the end of the day I Think like you know certainly depressing Uh Republican vote is something you want To do politically speaking you know in Terms of like messaging but you need to Bring out the the Democratic uh base More I mean that's that's bottom line Yeah do you feel it's different in those Two uh Nassau County districts as Opposed to like the uh What is it Hudson Valley districts in The 22nd which is you know in the Syracuse area which is a little bit Farther you know I find it hard to Believe for instance in the in the 19th District I find it hard to believe the Crime was the issue I just find it hard to believe the crime Was the issue because first off If you look at the the 19th as it was Constituted in that uh August election Um you know the the special election Uh the Democrat won in that 19th and Then it it the the constitution of Um The constitution of that that District Changed a little bit uh or significantly I would say but not Not in a way that that more democratic You got more democratic and um and so I Think it was really just a matter of

You're just not motivating people in That District to come out and Um you know 2018 And Republicans had record-breaking Turnout right but Democrats had more Record-breaking turnout I think that's The dynamic that's got to happen I think that's the dynamic that's got to Happen So Uh but John uh once you get more of Those numbers we'll call and we'll talk More about that All right thanks a lot y'all take care Yeah thanks John